Tuesday, November 12, 2019
Lessons in risk aversion Always protect the downside
Lessons in risk aversion Always protect the downside Lessons in risk aversion Always protect the downside Whatâs a big goal or dream that you have? Do you want to start a business? Become a fulltime author? Travel the world? Become financially independent? Change careers?I bet youâve thought about it, and at some point thought, âIâm not sure I can achieve that.âIf youâre anything like me, you always think about risks that are involved with making a big move in life. And thatâs not a surprise. Weâre collectively risk averse. We truly hate risk. Iâve never met someone who said, âI love to lose everything!âBut what can we do about our risk aversion? If you think about it, most of us are put off by fear. You think of doing something, consider the risks, and decide not to do it. Here are some examples. âI want to start a business. But I also have a job at the moment. I need the pay. So Iâm going to work on my business in the evenings. But what if I quit my job and go all in and the business fails?â âI want to invest in the stock market for my retirement. But what if itâs the wrong time? Maybe weâll get another financial crisis in a few months.â âI want to change careers. Iâm tired of working in sales. I want to become a programmer. But what if I can never find a job as a coder?â I think you get the point. There are always certain risks involved with every decision we make. But that shouldnât scare us.Be bold - but donât take risksWe all know that you donât achieve anything by living a timid life. Nothing will ever change if you lock yourself up in your house. To live life to the fullest and reach our full potential, we need to make bold moves.We also need to take risks - thatâs what we believe, right? Well, I do believe in making bold moves. However, I donât believe in taking risks. Richard Branson wrote this in his autobiography, Losing My Virginity:âIt is only by being bold that you get anywhere. If you are a risk-taker, then the art is to protect the downside.âBranson is a bold guy. And yet, his motto is to protect the downside. Another successful person, Warren Buffett has a similar maxim:âRule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.âSomehow, when I mention Buffett, thereâs always someone who says: âYeah, but Buffett lost millions!â Sure. No one is perfect. But at least he tries NOT to. And thatâs what counts.Iâve also adopted this risk-averse strategy for my life. In other words: I always try to limit my potential losses.Especially when it comes to my career, business, and investing decisions, I always protect the downside. Hereâs how I apply it to the most important aspects of my life.1. Career decisionsProtect the downside by learning skills and investing in yourself.Ask yourself this question: How can I spend my time in a way that I always learn something?In your career, time is your most important asset - not money or even reputation (which is also very important). Itâs time that you can use to build a career.But what do most of us do? Spend all of our time working on other peopleâs goals. And thereâs nothing wrong with having a job or having a business that only buys and sells bullshit products.You need money. But I challenge you to look beyond that. Because what happens when that source of income vanishes overnight? Exactly, you end up with nothing. Thatâs zero downside protection.But if you spend your time wisely, improve your skills every day, learn new things, and build relationships, you will always have something to fall back on. After time, your network is the most valuable resource. So spend your time on yourself and helping others.2. Business decisionsProtect the downside by serving multiple segments.Rolex has always been a luxury brand. But that means they could not sell their watches to everyone. Obviously, thatâs the strategy of luxury brands. So Rolex couldnât introduce a âcheapâ watch because that would harm their identity. They would risk losing their high-end clients.But Hans Wilsdorf, the founder of Rolex, still wanted to create good quality watches that were affordable. What did he do? He developed a new brand, called Tudor, which is more affordable compared to Rolex.They serve young professionals and people wh o want to buy their first high-quality timepiece.If youâre in business, consider serving more than one group of customers or focusing on more than one industry. When sales donât perform well in one area, you always have other places you can sell. Thatâs why I always create multiple products, focused on different groups and different sectors.3. Investing decisionsProtect the downside by making sure you canât lose all your money.There are many ways investors protect the downside. You can get as technical as you want by using options or purchasing assets that are negatively correlated to the asset you are investing in. But thatâs not for me. Iâm not a professional trader.I limit my potential losses by diversifying. But itâs not the type of diversification you might expect. For example, I put all the money that Iâve set aside for stock investing in one index fund.Doesnât look like diversification, right? Well, thatâs only one part of my investing strategy. I also invest in real estate (commercial and residential) and I own two business (in two unrelated fields). Plus, I keep enough cash in savings to live off for a year.The idea is that when one investment goes down, Iâm not losing ALL my money. I could diversify a lot more than this. Think about serving multiple industries and countries.Lastly, when it comes to investing; invest.Donât do stupid shit like buying bitcoin or something else that has no underlying value. Remember: If something sounds too good to be true, it probably is.Avoid taking a big hitThe whole purpose of protecting the downside is preventing total annihilation. You canât put all your life energy into only one thing. This is also true for your personal life.When people lose their personal identity in their intimate relationship, it hardly ends well. They are either destroyed when the relationship ends, or they feel powerless to leave, and end up staying against their will.The point is that you want to live a consc ious and vibrant life - without taking unnecessary risk. Think about the decisions you make, and more importantly: Think ahead. Ultimately, thatâs what will give you freedom.This article first appeared on DariusForoux.com.
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